Virginia House of Delegates 2005 Elections

Keeping You up to date on the status of Virginia's 2005 Delegate races!

Tuesday, June 07, 2005

42nd District Update

Outlook: Leans Republican

New fundraising figures from the 42nd District. Looks like Greg Werkheiser woke Dave Albo up.

Money Raised this period (April 1-June 1)

Werk: $45, 626
Albo: $142,941

Spent this period

Werk: $30,906 (32% of money raised this period saved, 68% spent)
Albo: $5,167 (96% of money raised this period saved, 4% spent)

Now Albo has the lead overall in fundraising again:

Total Raised for campaign

Werk: $198,003
Albo: $230,215

But with Werkheiser spending a lot more money now, the cash on hand is no longer as close.

Werk: $102,452
Albo: $175,396


Before I bash Werkheiser, let me say his number raised is very impressive for a challenger. Even the $45,000 raised this period is very solid, and something to be very proud of.

But his spending is outrageous. If I were a Werkheiser donor I would tell him no more checks until he got his act together. You can not defeat an incumbent by blowing this kind of money in April and May.

On the other side with Albo's report the exact opposite is going on. I can not remember seeing someone raise that kind of money in two months and only spending $5,000 to do it. Usually the minimum is 10% just to raise it.

With Werkheiser using a great local issue in the Fort Belvoir moves, I was considering this race as a possible "Tossup". This report puts an end to that for the time being. It takes a great campaign to defeat an incumbent and we will need to see Werkheiser showing some money management skills before we make a change to the rating. For now, this is a "Leans Republican."

77 Comments:

At 2:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Werkheiser ppl are very very quiet all the sudden. Don't like seeing your $ flushed down a toilet?

 
At 2:16 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hmmm...Werkheiser's expenditures are largely on voter contact. Fliers, signs, bumpers, pins, field person, etc. And much of this stuff has been used in massive voter contact events (like the Springfield parade, where Werkheiser reportedly had 3 dozen volunteers). Looks like he's paying 2 staff...one is probably exclusively field. Again, voter contact - early and often. He's a challenger, after all.

But take a look at Albo's report. One staffer - an intern. Not the campaign manager (no where to be found on the report). Does he not have one? Or is someone else paying for one without reporting it? This is very fishy...

What about the office on Rolling Road that he cites in the report? How does he work out of that office for free? He hasn't paid rent for it, apparently. And yet, there is no in kind on the report. Interesting. It's not his house. He lives in Mason Neck.

Then there's the loan that mysteriously disappeared from this report. Who paid it off? It was a 10k loan to himself on last month's report. Now it's gone. Hmmm. Where did it go?

And he's got ONE SINGLE DONOR from inside the district! Ummm.

Something's rotten in the cotton here...and I intend to find out what it is. I'll be back.

 
At 2:20 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

I'm not going to argue with each expense here, only that overall it's way overboard.

On the Albo report information, that is very fishy. Let us know what you find out.

 
At 2:23 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'd say it's because anonymous 2 doesn't know how to read a finance report.

 
At 2:24 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

I just read the loan information. The Albo loan is unchanged at $10,500 and is not reported incorrectly.... looking over the rest now

 
At 2:26 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

NLS: It's a BIT overboard. I think I agree though that if this money is being spent to get ahead of the game and contact voters, then it's well worth it.

It also looks like he's planning ahead by buying up his chum right now instead of later...this will probably defer some costs later on...who knows.

 
At 2:26 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

The rent is also reported on the in kind area. anonymous- 2 of your 4 charges are incorrect

 
At 2:27 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Last anon- a BIT overboard? He has spent more through the end of May then some viable campaigns do for the cycle.

 
At 2:28 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hmmm. I see it now. Would have probably been just an error on his part anyway.

But the rest of it's a bit fishy...

 
At 2:30 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

well then. Obviously I can't read filing reports!

I'll take some crow, please.

 
At 2:30 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

No manager is getting paid on here, that is fishy. I can verify that charge, but the office and missing loan are not correct charges

 
At 2:31 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

anonymous- that's ok. We forgive you. You made a good point on the manager part.

 
At 2:36 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have just logged onto this site and I think you both need to review the finance report before you make any more assumptions..you know what they say when you assume something!

 
At 2:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yeah sorry about that. I got so excited that I'd found some crazy stuff that I got carried away! But hey, that's the blogosphere for you. Make a mistake - correct it.

I guess he either doesn't have a campaign manager (ummm) or has some other sketchy arrangement.

 
At 2:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not that it matters, but his campaign manager is right there in the expenditures. Hint: Dave doesn't pay his manager $4000 a month.

 
At 2:40 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Once again, you need to actually read the report. It could be that he does have a manager, but he is not so stupid to pay someone $4,000 a month for a Delegate's race! Dave is clearly much smarter. Sounds to me Greg is getting a little big headed.

 
At 2:47 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Or...Tom Davis is paying his salary.......

 
At 2:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Albo's paying his campaign manager (campaign hours are 70 a week) $800 a month.

 
At 2:50 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just got hit with this:

WERKHEISER vs. ALBO RACE HEATS UP
On Defensive, Incumbent Takes 99.99% of Funds from Beyond District, .01% From Voters

The race between Republican Delegate David Albo and Democratic challenger Greg Werkheiser has gone into overdrive. Now that both candidates have hit the $200,000 raised mark, the sources of their support have been revealed.

In the months of April and May, Albo took 92% of his contributions not from individuals, but from special interest political action committees, 99% of which are outside of the district. The alcohol industry alone has now contributed over $40,000 to keep Albo, a drunk-driving defense attorney, in power. Only 1 of Albo’s 98 itemized donors can actually vote for him.

By contrast, 90% of Mr. Werkheiser’s contributions have come from individuals, many of whom live in the 42nd District. Governor Mark Warner signaled his support by contributing generously to Mr. Werkheiser’s effort—Mr. Werkheiser and Governor Warner have worked together on various public service projects for a decade, and Albo has led the attack on Governor Warner’s leadership during his term.

Werkheiser stated, “During my ten years as a civic educator I have consistently shown my students examples of how the influence of special interests can distract public servants from their responsibilities to their constituents.” He continued, “As I talk to folks on their doorsteps, I hear their concerns: a massive transportation crisis, soaring property taxes, overcrowded schools and a growing gang presence in Fairfax County. They deserve someone who works for them.”

The 42nd House of Delegates District forms the southern tip of Fairfax County. The District voted for John Kerry in 2004 and Governor Mark Warner in 2001.

 
At 2:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

for the record, my source on the report has a printed out copy from this morning that didn't include the loan. Albo made an error and it was fixed today.

 
At 2:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh Please....spare me the nonsense! Werkheiser would take money from anyone if he could get it. What a lousy attempt to feel good about himself.

 
At 2:57 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't know who you are, but you are so clueless, you don't make changes to reports like that. If it wasn't there this morning, that could be because the state board had not downloaded all the information yet..Boy, you guys are really trying to find something

 
At 2:57 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just look at the way he tried to raise money from his Sorenson list back in February.

 
At 2:57 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My source tells me that Albo took the money that he received from alcohol PACs, spread it out on the floor of his office at Albo and Oblom, and rolled around in it on his back like a crocodile in heat.

 
At 3:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not true. All of his contributions were in gold dubloons. Rolling around in them would really hurt.

 
At 3:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is so ridiculous...You clearly work for Werkheiser and you are nothing more than some hack. No wonder Greg is going to loose he has people like you spending valuable time blogging instead of contacting potential voters...What a sad campaign. Good Luck.

 
At 3:06 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Actually...I'm at work at my job in DC wasting their valuable time. Shhh...don't tell them. Nice try though.

 
At 3:11 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

HA! Yeah, I believe that one! Nice try on your part as well.

 
At 3:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Could this be a cameo by the Werkmeister himself?

 
At 3:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No...seriously...

 
At 3:37 PM, Anonymous Not Mark Rozell said...

1. NLS, I'm torn on your analysis (strange, ain't it?). On the one hand, Werkheiser is a novice and needs to spend himself silly to get name ID. On the other hand, he's dropping money in the middle of a statewide primary where he's not on the ballot. So many people are not paying attention and those who are will forget before Labor Day. Albo may have the better strategy - wait until people are paying attention and then bring on the whoop-ass.

2. $4,000 a month is a little steep for Werkheiser's campaign manager, but I guess that doesn't matter to a trust fund baby. $800 is a bit low, but most successful campaign managers make next to nothing anyway.

4. Note how Werkheiser's press release doesn't mention what percentage of his own money came from within the district. I haven't done the math, but it looks pretty paltry too.

 
At 3:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

ok that comment on the crocodile thing was the funniest one on here in a while. i don't care what party you're in.

 
At 3:38 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

a Trust fund baby? Huh? Who is a Trust fund baby?

 
At 3:47 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

I think that crocodile comment was the best one on the site so far. That may be the winner for the whole cycle...

 
At 3:50 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Not Mark- Agreed on point 1. Point 2, there is no way his manager is making $800 a month. Point 4 (did you miss 3?), I will do the math now and report back

 
At 3:52 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Right off the top, 4,000 is a fraud. They paid Chris Ambrose 4,000 then he donated it a few days later. Doesn't change cash on hand, but makes it look like raising is going better.

 
At 3:54 PM, Anonymous Not Mark Rozell said...

I know for a fact his manager can make $800 a month, but he's probably sleeping in Albo's den or something. I have managed a couple of campaigns in my time, so it can be done.

You are correct, I screwed up on my numbering. Sorry.

 
At 3:54 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

I count 7 in district for Werk (I don't know the lines exactly so give or take 1 or 2 either way)

 
At 3:56 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Not Mark, that's very fishy. And if true, is very unethical in my opinion for someone who has raised 200,000. At least pay a minimum wage.

 
At 4:08 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

What if he is being paid twice a month and at the end of each pay period?

 
At 4:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

NLS - could you provide the link to view the actual report?

 
At 4:20 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

View Here

 
At 4:31 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This report will be up on VPAP within a couple of weeks...It'll be much easier to scan.

Market rate for a campaign manager for a top rate legislative race is a few thousand dollars. I know, I know - you republicans scoff at this race. But the Democratic party thinks differently (see: 15k from One Virginia PAC to Werkheiser).

I heard a rumor that Tom Davis effectively paid Albo's manager in 2001. Anybody know how to check up on that?

 
At 4:33 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

To the poster who wonders why Albo shouldn't take tons of money from alcohol PACs. The guy writes the DUI laws and he defends drunk drivers for a living. Why does he receive so much money from alcohol PACs? Why does he take it?

 
At 4:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Its not like he makes it easier for people to drink and drive. He's actually driving himself out of business with the laws he passes.

 
At 4:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Radio ad recently heard: Had a bit too much to drink? Crashed your car into a school bus killing dozens? Never fear, Albo is here! I wrote the DUI laws, so I'll defend you against them.

 
At 4:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Are you kidding? With the abuser fees law?

How many people contest traffic tickets right now? Very few. Most people just pay them and move on. Many people don't even hire a lawyer for DUI.

If you raised the fee by hundreds of dollars, how many people would hire a lawyer? Thousands more.

 
At 4:49 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I seem to remember Albo co-sponsoring a bill to allow free samples at the ABC store.

 
At 4:50 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Is that true? Samples? If so, that is really cool. I can't think of anywhere better to sample (besides the treasury)

 
At 4:59 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

NLS: I think that's called a "loan".

 
At 5:39 PM, Blogger Maura in VA said...

$800/month for a campaign manager in a key delegate race is outrageously low. Either someone else is giving the guy kickbacks, or Albo doesn't think it's important to pay people a living wage. Or does he just "employ" independently wealthy people who don't need to make a living?

A few thousand dollars a month for a really great campaign manager is a good investment, respectful of an individual's professionalism and need to make an decent living, pay for health insurance, etc. I'm all for ending the days of campaign workers being either in poverty, paid "under the table" by other people, or ultra-rich people who don't need to earn a living.

 
At 5:48 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Agreed. Thanks Maura. We miss you around here when you aren't posting.

 
At 8:29 PM, Blogger Maura in VA said...

Hey, thanks, NLS. I'm such a sucker for compliments. :-)

 
At 10:02 PM, Anonymous Olivia said...

Don't know what Albo is paying now, but 2003 campaign records show he paid a campaign manager $2600 per month (from June-election).

 
At 4:44 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Keep in mind, its possible to pay your campaign manager less in the beginning of your race (presumably when you have less money) and more in the end (after you've raised a ton). Albo probably has the salary based on a backload of cash towards the end. I wouldn't be surprised if, in a few months, the same anonymouses are complaining about the excessive salary of Albo's campaign manager.

 
At 9:38 AM, Anonymous Not Mark Rozell said...

I stand by my original post about campaign managers. No one is going to get rich managing a campaign and no one expects to. That's why campaign workers are a special breed and burn out so quickly. Most of these guys are college kids or recent grads who only expect to be paid so they can buy food and get a new pair of shoes every so often. Nearly every single one of them goes on to something bigger with much better pay.

If a campaign is not accurately reporting the value of a manager's services, regardless of what they are being paid, that does get sticky. In Albo's case, I suspect his guy is doing this part-time until Labor Day rolls around. Knowing how these things work, the guy probably has another part-time job somewhere else, like as Albo's legislative aide.

NLS, despite my comments above, your "living wage" comment ignores one critical fact: to a single guy who is still used to eating three-week-old pizza and who prefers sleeping on the floor of the campaign headquarters because the commute is easier, this IS a living wage.

 
At 9:43 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not Mark Rozell: You seem to defend David Albo at every opportunity, no matter what the issue is. Any comments?

 
At 9:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Maybe...it's because Dave KICKS ASS!

 
At 10:23 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

DAVE ALBO ROCKS THE HOUSE DUDE!!!

WHO ROCKS THE HOUSE?

DAVE ALBO ROCKS THE HOUSE!!!

COWABUNGA!!! NARLY!!!

 
At 10:24 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Did you know that Dave Albo is the #1 legislator in Bulgaria? He has a cult following there.

 
At 10:25 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

4 out of 5 dentists prefer Dave Albo over sensidine.

 
At 10:26 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No Dave Albo is #2 in Bulgaria

 
At 10:26 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No he's not he's #1.

 
At 10:26 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No he's #2.

 
At 10:57 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

NMR - Only someone who's not taking their race very seriously would hire a college kid to manage their campaign. Most people who manage these things have at least 1 or 2 cycles experience on state races. Plus with the the cost of living in NOVA and other more populous locales...

 
At 11:11 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

'Only someone who's not taking their race very seriously would hire a college kid to manage their campaign.'

That's ridiculous. The Campaign Managers need to get out mailers, manage highschoolers, and be well organized. College kids are perfect. Plus, they're cheap!

 
At 11:11 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

I'm starting to glaze over at this argument.

 
At 11:32 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Does anyone even know who the guy is?

 
At 11:39 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ummm his name is in the finance report. I forget. I think he's also Albo's LA. I could be wrong.

 
At 11:40 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"The Campaign Managers need to get out mailers, manage highschoolers, and be well organized."

Yeah, plus put together fundraisers, target voters, write the campaign plan, etc etc. It takes slightly more than good organization skills to run a campaign.

 
At 12:45 PM, Blogger Kevin said...

"NMR - Only someone who's not taking their race very seriously would hire a college kid to manage their campaign. Most people who manage these things have at least 1 or 2 cycles experience on state races. Plus with the the cost of living in NOVA and other more populous locales..."

Where do you think they get the year or two experience?

 
At 1:32 PM, Anonymous Not Mark Rozell said...

Apparently Werkheiser's frat boys have found the site again.

For the record, I have my issues with Werkheiser. I have never disguised that. Perhaps it's because I know a little too much.

 
At 1:35 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Where do you think they get experience?"

Working field or coordinating a region for a statewide/national campaign.

Not running a top fleet House race.

 
At 1:38 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

NMR: Fair enough. I have my issues with Dave Albo. Perhaps because I know a little too much.

Jeremy Greenfield: Stop posting on here under anonymous names.

 
At 9:07 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow - there are some real smart people on this list. If you took 10 seconds to look it up - you would notice that Albo's Manager, Jeremy Greenfield, is also his Legislative Assistant.

So a common practice is to pay your LA to run your campaign - but keep them on the state payroll also - just make sure they split their time effectively between the campaign and district office.

 
At 10:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

For as much time as Mr. Greenfield has been spending posting anonymous comments on this blog, it is clear that he is earning every penny of his $800 per month salary.

 
At 4:38 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Brad Davis? Is that you?

 

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