Virginia House of Delegates 2005 Elections

Keeping You up to date on the status of Virginia's 2005 Delegate races!

Thursday, May 05, 2005

37th District Update

I told you all I was thinking about doing some rating changes here. Here they are:

Democratic Primary
Old Rating: Toss Up
New Rating: Leans Bulova

Republican Primary
Old Rating: Likely Mason
New Rating: Likely Mason

Mason v. Bulova
Old Rating: Leans Republican
New Rating: Leans Republican

Mason v. Oleszek
Old Rating: Toss Up
New Rating: Leans Republican

Click over on the right to see our old discussions and how we got to these new ratings here.

3 Comments:

At 11:21 AM, Blogger Maura in VA said...

I've been seeing Bulova signs all over the Merrifield area, near Prosperity and Rt. 50. Haven't seen much signage from Oleszek yet.

Aside from Oleszek having a meet and greet outside of the district, is there any other reason that you've brought the Dem primary back to "lean Bulova"? I really don't see that as a particular sign of either strength or weakness (since candidates do it all the time, and with Oleszek being an "at large" member of the Fairfax School Board, she's got good contacts all over the county) so I'd be surprised if that factored large in your decision. Have you heard anything else that makes you change your rating?

 
At 2:23 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Hi Maura, I was told by a source she was actually having 8 of them, 7 outside the district in the 40 days until the primary. I was pretty disgusted. :)

 
At 2:26 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Oops, posted too quick.

Part of why I feel so strongly about this is Oleszek has to run the better campaign to win.

If all else is even Bulova will win because of his mother in Braddock, and the endorsments she brings in the County. If Oleszek wants to win, she needs to get to the doors of the voters, after the last Delegate, they are expecting it.

 

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