Virginia House of Delegates 2005 Elections

Keeping You up to date on the status of Virginia's 2005 Delegate races!

Monday, April 25, 2005

I need your help

Filing closed on the primaries 10 days ago. The SBE (State Board of Elections) still does not have the candidates list on their website. I saw some of the final names in the WaPo article, but that was only Northern Virginia....

Here's what I would like to know:

1- What districts had their political parties file for a primary

Then from there broken down like this:

Primaries where two or more filed (contested)
Primaries where one filed (declared nominee)
Primaries where zero filed (reverts to an internal party decision before June 14)

Remember- we need a list of district that asked for a primary, in Virginia the party gets to select.

I could walk down there tomorrow and get this, but notlarrysabato has some unpacking to do. Could someone call the SBE and post it on here in the Comments (Wahoo?). I've got an analysis done for the ones I know about it, but notlarrysabato does not want to be like larry sabato and leave candidates off a list because of my own incompetence!

29 Comments:

At 8:34 AM, Blogger Jason Kenney said...

Have you tried vpap.org?

 
At 9:21 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

It's not complete (I think). I'll be embarassed if that is wrong. :)

 
At 9:49 AM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

they've added some stuff lately. Email the guy and ask him whether he's finished updating it. Then put a disclaimer on the post saying, "I blame VPAP if this is wrong. May they burn in hell for misleading me."

Just kidding VPAP - you're awesome.

 
At 9:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

In Virginia Beach we have two primary challenges in the Republican party. City Councilman Peter Schmidt is challenging Delegate Purkey in district 82. In district 83 local Republican activist and former councilwoman Delcino Miles is challenging Leo Wardrup. These are two tough districts but the two challengers are being backed by some big time (R) behind the scenes. It looks like there are some fractures in the Republican power structure. Virginia Beach is on the verge of seing some real changes as the moderate Republicans look for real leadership and a new home.

 
At 9:58 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

OK, VPAP doesnt even have Preston Bryant. Can someone please get this info from SBE? Please!!! "Notlarrysabato" must stay in the shadows until we are ready to battle the king of evil, "larrysabato"

 
At 10:01 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Hmm.... Virginia Beach too??? I think the list of candidates would be shorter if we asked for districts "without a Republican primary". LOL!

 
At 11:10 AM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

Update from the 45th:

Libby Garvey is apparently being listed 1st on the ballot. It's sad, but that might actually seal the deal for her.

 
At 11:11 AM, Anonymous WAhoo Dan said...

"not larry sabato": Are you batman?

 
At 11:24 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Haha. I was kidding Wahoo.

 
At 11:25 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Wahoo, can you please get us the list? Please? :)

 
At 11:36 AM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

Some of this is inaccurate, but here's the list of ALL candidates for every race (HOD, SEN, GOV, ETC)

Abbitt Watkins M. - HOD - 059 - 2003 Albo David W. - HOD - 042 - 2003
Alexander Kenneth Cooper - HOD - 089 - 2003 Amundson Kristen J. - HOD - 089 - 2003
Armstrong Ward L. - HOD - 010 - 2003 Athey Clifford L. Jr. - HOD - 010 - 2003
Bacote Mamye E. - HOD - 095 - 2003 Ball Michael - HOD - 095 - 2003
Barg Hilda - HOD - 052 - 2005 Baril Stephen E. - AG - 052 - 2005
Barlow William K. - HOD - 064 - 2003 Baskerville Viola O. - HOD - 064 - 2003
Baskerville Viola - LG - 000 - 2005 Bell Robert B. - HOD - 000 - 2005
Bolling William T. - LG - 000 - 2005 Bratschi Michael W. - HOD - 000 - 2005
Brink Robert H. - HOD - 048 - 2003 Bryant L. Preston Jr. - HOD - 048 - 2003
Bulova David - HOD - 037 - 2005 Byrne Leslie L. - LG - 037 - 2005
Byron Kathy J. - HOD - 022 - 2003 Callahan Vincent F Jr. - HOD - 022 - 2003
Carrico Charles W. - HOD - 005 - 2003 Chapman Steve - HOD - 005 - 2003
Christopher Supriya - HOD - 084 - 2005 Clemmons Charles - HOD - 084 - 2005
Cline Benjamin L. - HOD - 024 - 2003 Cole Mark L. - HOD - 024 - 2003
Connaughton Sean - LG - 000 - 2005 Cosgrove John A. - HOD - 000 - 2005
Councill J. Paul Jr. - HOD - 075 - 2003 Councill James III - HOD - 075 - 2003
Cox Kirkland M. - HOD - 066 - 2005 Cox David - HOD - 066 - 2005
Craddock Chris S. - HOD - 067 - 2005 Dance Rosalyn - HOD - 067 - 2005
Danner Christopher - HOD - 070 - 2005 Davis Gilbert K. - LG - 070 - 2005
Davis Bradley - HOD - 041 - 2005 Deeds R. Creigh - AG - 041 - 2005
Devlin Sean - HOD - 095 - 2005 Dillard James H. II - HOD - 095 - 2005
Dudley Allen W. - HOD - 009 - 2003 Ebbin Adam P. - HOD - 009 - 2003
Eby Charles Jr. - HOD - 067 - 2005 Edwards John S. - AG - 067 - 2005
Eisenberg Albert C. - HOD - 047 - 2003 Englin David - HOD - 047 - 2003
Feldbush Charles A. - HOD - 088 - 2003 Ferguson Donald - HOD - 088 - 2003
Ferguson Eric H. - HOD - 009 - 2005 Finerfrock William - HOD - 009 - 2005
Fitch George - GOV - 000 - 2005 Forbes J. Randy - XL - 000 - 2005
Fralin William H. Jr. - HOD - 017 - 2003 Frederick Jeffrey M. - HOD - 017 - 2003
Fulk Lowell L. - HOD - 026 - 2003 Garber Robert - HOD - 026 - 2003
Garvey Elizabeth T. - HOD - 045 - 2005 Gilbert Christopher T - HOD - 045 - 2005
Gilliland Randall - HOD - 091 - 2005 Golden Michael J. - HOD - 091 - 2005
Griffith H. Morgan. - HOD - 008 - 2003 Hall Franklin P. - HOD - 008 - 2003
Hamilton Phillip A. - HOD - 093 - 2005 Hargrove Frank D. Sr. - HOD - 093 - 2005
Harrison Matthew J. - HOD - 052 - 2005 Hobson Richard G. - HOD - 052 - 2005
Hoff Rodger Christian - HOD - 047 - 2003 Hogan Clarke N. - HOD - 047 - 2003
Howell William J. - HOD - 028 - 2003 Howell Algie T. - HOD - 028 - 2003
Hugo Timothy D. - HOD - 040 - 2003 Hull Robert D. - HOD - 040 - 2003
Hurt Robert - HOD - 016 - 2003 Hyland James - HOD - 016 - 2003
Iaquinto Salvatore R. - HOD - 084 - 2005 Ingram Riley E. - HOD - 084 - 2005
Janis William R. - HOD - 056 - 2003 Jarvis Robert - HOD - 056 - 2003
Joannou Johnny S. - HOD - 079 - 2003 Johnson Joseph P. Jr. - HOD - 079 - 2003
Jones Steven Christopher - HOD - 076 - 2003 Jones Dwight C. - HOD - 076 - 2003
Kaine Timothy M. - GOV - 000 - 2005 Kaplan James - HOD - 000 - 2005
Keister Walter B. - HOD - 006 - 2003 Kennedy David B. - HOD - 006 - 2003
Kenney Shaun - HOD - 054 - 2005 Kilgore Terry G. - HOD - 054 - 2005
Kilgore Jerry - GOV - 000 - 2005 Landes R. Steven - HOD - 000 - 2005
Lapetina Troy H. - HOD - 064 - 2003 Law Melvin D. - HOD - 064 - 2003
Lay James - HOD - 045 - 2005 Levy Charles W. - HOD - 045 - 2005
Lingamfelter L. Scott - HOD - 031 - 2001 Lingamfelter L. Scott - HOD - 031 - 2001
Locke Mamie E. - SEN - 002 - 2003 Lohr Matthew - HOD - 002 - 2003
Louderback Allen L. - HOD - 015 - 2003 Mandala Laura - HOD - 015 - 2003
Marrs Brad P. - HOD - 068 - 2005 Marsden David - HOD - 068 - 2005
Marshall Danny W. - HOD - 014 - 2003 Marshall Robert G. - HOD - 014 - 2003
Massoud S John - HOD - 048 - 1999 May Joe T. - HOD - 048 - 1999
May Joe T. - LG - 000 - 2005 McClellan Jennifer - HOD - 000 - 2005
McDonnell Robert F. - HOD - 084 - 2003 McDonnell Robert F. - AG - 084 - 2003
McDougle Ryan T. - HOD - 097 - 2003 McDowell Robert M. - HOD - 097 - 2003
McGuire Hunter H. III - HOD - 056 - 2003 Mcpherson Brian S. - HOD - 056 - 2003
McQuigg Michele B. - HOD - 051 - 2003 Melvin Kenneth R. - HOD - 051 - 2003
Meunier Michael - HOD - 039 - 2005 Miles Floyd H. Sr. - HOD - 039 - 2005
Miles Delceno - HOD - 083 - 2005 Miller Paula - HOD - 083 - 2005
Moran Brian J. - HOD - 046 - 2003 Morris William M. - HOD - 046 - 2003
Mosqueda Elsie - HOD - 045 - 2005 Moss Thomas W. Jr. - HOD - 045 - 2005
Nicholson John B. III - HOD - 075 - 2003 Nixon Samuel A. - HOD - 075 - 2003
Nutter David A. - HOD - 007 - 2003 Obannon John G. - HOD - 007 - 2003
Obenshain Mark D. - SEN - 026 - 2003 Oder George Glenn - HOD - 026 - 2003
Oleszek Janet - HOD - 037 - 2005 Oprison Christopher - HOD - 037 - 2005
Orrock Robert D. - HOD - 054 - 2005 Parrish Harry J. - HOD - 054 - 2005
Petersen J. Chapman - HOD - 037 - 2003 Petersen J. Chapman - LG - 037 - 2003
Phillips Clarence E - HOD - 002 - 2005 Plum Kenneth R. - HOD - 002 - 2005
Poisson David E. - HOD - 032 - 2005 Pollard Albert C. - HOD - 032 - 2005
Porta Earnie - HOD - 051 - 2005 Puckett Phillip P. - LG - 051 - 2005
Purkey Harry R. - HOD - 082 - 2003 Purves Arthur G. - HOD - 082 - 2003
Rapp Melanie L. - HOD - 096 - 2003 Reese Gary A. - HOD - 096 - 2003
Reid John S. - HOD - 072 - 2005 Robinson Edward - HOD - 072 - 2005
Roemmelt Bruce - HOD - 013 - 2005 Rust Thomas Davis - HOD - 013 - 2005
Saxman Christopher B. - HOD - 020 - 2003 Schmidt Peter - HOD - 020 - 2003
Scott James M. - HOD - 053 - 2003 Scott Edward T. - HOD - 053 - 2003
Shannon Stephen C - HOD - 035 - 2003 Sherwood Beverly J. - HOD - 035 - 2003
Shuler James M. - HOD - 012 - 2003 Sickles Mark A. - HOD - 012 - 2003
Sims Andrea - HOD - 063 - 2005 Smith Stephen F. - HOD - 063 - 2005
Spruill Lionel - HOD - 077 - 2003 Suit Terrie L. - HOD - 077 - 2003
Tata Robert - HOD - 085 - 2003 Toscano David - HOD - 085 - 2003
Van Landingham Marian A. - HOD - 045 - 2003 Van Yahres Mitchell - HOD - 045 - 2003
Volpe Marianne - HOD - 044 - 2005 Waddell Katherine B. - HOD - 044 - 2005
Ward Jeion A. - HOD - 092 - 2003 Wardrup Leo C. Jr. - HOD - 092 - 2003
Ware Onzlee - HOD - 011 - 2003 Ware Robert Lee - HOD - 011 - 2003
Watts Vivian E. - HOD - 039 - 2003 Weatherholtz Glenn M. - HOD - 039 - 2003
Webb Ronald Allen - HOD - 099 - 2001 Welch John J. III - HOD - 099 - 2001
Werkheiser Gregory - HOD - 042 - 2005 Williams Anthony - HOD - 042 - 2005
Wright Tommy C. - HOD - 061 - 2003

 
At 11:45 AM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

Ok ignore that. Here's a list of the GOP people who filed in 2005 with their district immediately following it MOST of it is accurate, some of it isn't:

Garber Robert 23
Gilbert Christopher T 23
Lohr Matthew 26
Louderback Allen L. 26
Jarvis Robert 30
Jones Steven Christopher 30
Oprison Christopher 33
Parrish Harry J. 33
Hyland James 35
Iaquinto Salvatore R. 35
Kaplan James 37
Kennedy David B. 37
Albo David W. 42
Athey Clifford L. Jr. 42
Chapman Steve 50
Clemmons Charles 50
Kenney Shaun 54
Kilgore Terry G. 54
Craddock Chris S. 67
Davis Bradley 67
Marrs Brad P. 68
Marshall Danny W. 68
Reid John S. 72
Robinson Edward 72
Schmidt Peter 82
Scott Edward T. 82
Miles Delceno 83
Morris William M. 83
Devlin Sean 95

 
At 11:52 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Wahoo- the SBE has that messeed up. Your using the finance section, which i tried to do... bu their right hand column shows the same district number as whoever is on the left hand column. So it's only 1/2 right. Why dont they have accurate information!?!?

 
At 11:56 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Do you have time to call and ask them for a candidates list? We just want primaries, becauses caucuses can't occur by law until May

 
At 12:18 PM, Anonymous Charlie Fletcher said...

wahoo dan: what makes you think being first on the ballot in a dem primary seals the deal? It is not as if there will be a lot of people going to the polls undecided? What else has Libby Garvey (VA-45) done to put her in that position?

This race is still wide open: my money is on Englin, Mosqeuda or Garvey (and most of my money is on Englin). But I urge you to demonstrate how that's a bad bet, after all I'm an old man and with Debya around, social security may not last?

 
At 12:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I love this screw up by the Elections Board. Sickles v. Shuler in SW Virginia? Danny Marshall v. Bob Marshall in Southside? And Algie "Droopy Drawers" Howell (Norfolk) moving to Fredericksburg to challenge Speaker Howell? LOL

 
At 1:16 PM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

Charlie:

I'm also betting on Englin or Garvey. But I just wanted to throw that out there. Listings DO matter in a low name ID race like this. Don't get so defensive.

Do some people know who these candidates are? Sure. Do some people not even know what the House of Delegates is? Sure. Do some people not know who the Governor is? Sure. Will voter turnout/interest ever decline so much in local elections that someone will win by a margin of 10 votes to 9? Maybe.

NLS: Ohhhhhhh now I get it. I was wondering why it would come out so screwed up. I can't really call them today...I'll email them, and they'll get back to me in the next two years (I think it's only 4 people working over there).

 
At 1:34 PM, Anonymous Charlie Fletcher said...

wahoo dan: I apologize if I sounded defensive. Name recognition is important in a primary race like the 45th, but only among those who are planning to vote, which is a very small number. I still do not think ballot order will make a huge difference because there are only two races on the Democratic ticket and very few people are rushing to the polls to vote for Lt. Gov. So that means the people voting are the die hard Dems (who follow the race) and people who are turned out by one of the campaigns.

This brings me back to my original question. You asserted that ballot order sealed the deal for Libby. What other strengths of her campaign do you think gets her that far? I'll admit I am biased, but since I do not live in the district, I rely on dear old friends who do and follow the race for information. They say every important indicator and some of the not so important ones point to Englin's campaign being the most successful. What are your thoughts?

 
At 2:59 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Wahoo- I agree with Charlie here. Everyone voting is voting for the 45th... except a few Leslie Byrne people maybe. I think Libby is the favorite, but for other reasons, would like to hear yours.

 
At 3:01 PM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

I completely agree. Everything I know to rely upon (people I know in the district, people I know who are working on these campaigns, posts on here, Englin's web presense) leads me to believe that this is his race to lose. It's really quite amazing, as you said in the other thread, that someone without elected experience managed to elevate his candidacy this high.

As far as the ballot goes: it only takes 2 experienced signature collectors 1 day to collect 125 signatures (the requirement). So I think Garvey's team was smart to get them in quickly (whoever turns the signatures in first gets first billing on the ballot).

Let's all not forget Laura Mandala, either. She's running TV ads (you can check them out on her site). This campaign will be a real test (anecdotal maybe) of whether tv trumps everything else in local elections.

Usually I'd agree with you that only people who know a candidate will turn out. But since there's a highly competitive LG race in the works, it's highly possible that a great number of people who know one of the LG candidates but don't know any of the House candidates will show up. In this case, name recognition trumps all. Whichever candidate can get that up will win those votes.

 
At 3:56 PM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

Not Larry Sabato: What are your reasons for thinking Libby is the favorite?

 
At 4:02 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Arlington wants revenge for Alexandria stealing the Darner seat.

 
At 4:51 PM, Anonymous Wahoo Dan said...

I'm picturing the outline of arlington county with little arms and legs shaking it's fists at the outline of alexandria. Ok. I'll buy it.

 
At 6:36 PM, Anonymous Charlie Fletcher said...

I agree that Arlington wants the seat back. Although 3 of 20 or so precincts is not much, and not many of the actual Arlington Democrat activists are in those 3. Garvey would have to turn out significant numbers there to make up for what she won't get elsewhere.

I think Englin has the best chance (agreed surpisingly) because of the organization he has built. He raised more than Mosqeuda and Garvey, has more supporters working for him at the doors and on the phones, and generally seems to know what it takes to win this type of race. It's really a matter of who wins the Alexandria insider crowd. If Englin picks up enough votes among that group he wins. If Mosqeuda gets those votes, Garvey wins.

I am not convinced Mandala's boyfriend's money has bought her anything other than attention for raising the most money. She does not seem to know how to use it. She bought more yard signs than there will be voters on Flag Day. Check the report, she has not even bought the list of registered voters. In a primary where 3000 poeple will vote, a television ad is not the best way to target voters. It might also help if she did not move into the district to run. On the other hand, the votes she does buy may have change the outcome of the election, just not in her favor.

 
At 11:28 PM, Blogger Shaula Evans said...

The tv ads do seem to be a very unusual choice on Mandala's part.

In an either/or scenario, I'll back direct voter contact and grassroots campaigning over a tv buy any time.

 
At 7:02 AM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

Wahoo- Keep the pressure on them today. If you get time please call and remind the SBE- they work for us- the taxpayers! THE LEAST THEY CAN DO IS TELL US WHO FILED!!!

 
At 9:36 AM, Anonymous WAhoo Dan said...

I try to avoid paying taxes.

But I'll try anyway.

 
At 5:06 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey, you have a great blog here! You really are very talented and deserve an honest compliment, congratulations! I'm definitely going to bookmark you!

I have a legitimate online money making site/blog. It successfully covers legitimate online money making related stuff.

Come and check it out when you get time, as I would be honored to help a hard-working person like you become successful in this business. Scott.

 
At 2:52 PM, Blogger Bryan's Lawn Care Virginia Beach said...

Hello, enjoyed reading your blog. **Bryan's Lawn Care of Virginia Beach, VA** invites you to check out our valuable lawn care tip information. Please feel free to stop by and visit our site at: **www.BeachLawnCare.Com** to take advantage of our free winter / fall **Lawn Care** tips! Have a great day!

 

Post a Comment

<< Home